Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 27°C (36%) and 26°C (28%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 25°C under cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, while international models diverge toward 26-28°C highs as seen in sources like timeanddate.com (83°F or 28°C). Recent observational data shows April 10-11 highs steady at 24°C amid a spring warming trend above the 20°C April climatological average, but persistent cloud cover and cool air advection introduce uncertainty differentiating outcomes—partial sun breaks could push peaks to 27°C, while overcast skies cap at 25°C. Resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements; watch evening forecast updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
25°C 15%
28°C 7.1%
$39,291 Vol.
$39,291 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
23%
27°C
38%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
25°C 15%
28°C 7.1%
$39,291 Vol.
$39,291 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
23%
27°C
38%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 27°C (36%) and 26°C (28%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of 25°C under cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, while international models diverge toward 26-28°C highs as seen in sources like timeanddate.com (83°F or 28°C). Recent observational data shows April 10-11 highs steady at 24°C amid a spring warming trend above the 20°C April climatological average, but persistent cloud cover and cool air advection introduce uncertainty differentiating outcomes—partial sun breaks could push peaks to 27°C, while overcast skies cap at 25°C. Resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements; watch evening forecast updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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