Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated at 18:45 HKT on April 11, projects a daytime high around 29°C for April 12 amid hot conditions with sunny intervals, driven by a moderate southerly airstream transporting warm, humid air over the Guangdong coast. This positions 28°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 48% trader consensus, with 27°C (25%) and 29°C (19%) close behind, reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty from possible isolated showers that could temper peaks or allow brief surges under clearing skies. Today's observations show 27°C with 81% humidity and cloud cover, aligning with above-normal April temperatures in a predicted seasonal warm spell; watch for tomorrow's hourly updates as the resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
28°C 47%
27°C 25.0%
29°C 19%
30°C or higher 8%
$27,491 Vol.
$27,491 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
8%
28°C 47%
27°C 25.0%
29°C 19%
30°C or higher 8%
$27,491 Vol.
$27,491 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated at 18:45 HKT on April 11, projects a daytime high around 29°C for April 12 amid hot conditions with sunny intervals, driven by a moderate southerly airstream transporting warm, humid air over the Guangdong coast. This positions 28°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 48% trader consensus, with 27°C (25%) and 29°C (19%) close behind, reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty from possible isolated showers that could temper peaks or allow brief surges under clearing skies. Today's observations show 27°C with 81% humidity and cloud cover, aligning with above-normal April temperatures in a predicted seasonal warm spell; watch for tomorrow's hourly updates as the resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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