Hong Kong Observatory data confirms the highest air temperature of 28°C at its station on April 10, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. A stable anticyclone aloft promoted subsidence and clear skies, minimizing cloud cover and enabling efficient solar heating despite light northeast winds, with regional stations like Tai Lung reaching 28.8°C in the past 24 hours overlapping the period. This aligns with the Observatory's March outlook for one of 2026's hottest years on record, amid above-normal early spring temperatures. Final daily summary pending, but revision unlikely barring equipment anomaly; unexpected overnight data adjustments could theoretically shift resolution, though confirmed observations lock in strong positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,743 Vol.
$239,743 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,743 Vol.
$239,743 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory data confirms the highest air temperature of 28°C at its station on April 10, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. A stable anticyclone aloft promoted subsidence and clear skies, minimizing cloud cover and enabling efficient solar heating despite light northeast winds, with regional stations like Tai Lung reaching 28.8°C in the past 24 hours overlapping the period. This aligns with the Observatory's March outlook for one of 2026's hottest years on record, amid above-normal early spring temperatures. Final daily summary pending, but revision unlikely barring equipment anomaly; unexpected overnight data adjustments could theoretically shift resolution, though confirmed observations lock in strong positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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