Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
84°F or higher 50%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84°F or higher
40%
84°F or higher 50%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
65°F or below
$30 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$59 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$82 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$14 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$3 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$2 Vol.
10%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$25 Vol.
30%
84°F or higher
$6 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$211Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$211Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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