Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 28%
84-85°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 28%
84-85°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
69°F or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$89 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$56 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$35 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$47 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$83 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$4 Vol.
3%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$476Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$476Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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