Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (82.3% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those reflected in BBC Weather, projecting a daytime high near 17°C under persistent light rain showers and moderate east-southeasterly breezes. Post-frontal cooling from a recent weather system has ushered in cooler maritime air masses, with extensive cloud cover suppressing solar heating—conditions echoed in timeanddate.com's outlook of 15–16°C highs. April climatology typically sees averages around 19°C, but current atmospheric patterns align with cooler analogs. Watch for final observational data from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations tomorrow, as minor model shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 82.7%
18°C 11%
19°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
$74,288 Vol.
$74,288 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
17°C or below
83%
18°C
11%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 82.7%
18°C 11%
19°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
$74,288 Vol.
$74,288 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$13,244 Vol.
83%
18°C
$6,985 Vol.
11%
19°C
$9,434 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,187 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5,213 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5,622 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,825 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,588 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,944 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,475 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (82.3% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those reflected in BBC Weather, projecting a daytime high near 17°C under persistent light rain showers and moderate east-southeasterly breezes. Post-frontal cooling from a recent weather system has ushered in cooler maritime air masses, with extensive cloud cover suppressing solar heating—conditions echoed in timeanddate.com's outlook of 15–16°C highs. April climatology typically sees averages around 19°C, but current atmospheric patterns align with cooler analogs. Watch for final observational data from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations tomorrow, as minor model shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$74,288Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (82.3% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those reflected in BBC Weather, projecting a daytime high near 17°C under persistent light rain showers and moderate east-southeasterly breezes. Post-frontal cooling from a recent weather system has ushered in cooler maritime air masses, with extensive cloud cover suppressing solar heating—conditions echoed in timeanddate.com's outlook of 15–16°C highs. April climatology typically sees averages around 19°C, but current atmospheric patterns align with cooler analogs. Watch for final observational data from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations tomorrow, as minor model shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,288Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12 (82.3% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those reflected in BBC Weather, projecting a daytime high near 17°C under persistent light rain showers and moderate east-southeasterly breezes. Post-frontal cooling from a recent weather system has ushered in cooler maritime air masses, with extensive cloud cover suppressing solar heating—conditions echoed in timeanddate.com's outlook of 15–16°C highs. April climatology typically sees averages around 19°C, but current atmospheric patterns align with cooler analogs. Watch for final observational data from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations tomorrow, as minor model shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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