Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's Central Park high temperature near 80°F on April 14, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 78-83°F outcomes and reflecting a potent upper-level ridge ushering dry, southerly flow for summer-like warmth 15-20°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 60-62°F. Recent 24-hour model runs show slight warming trends with reduced cloud interference, elevating 80-81°F as the marginal leader, while 78-79°F and 82-83°F contend due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze development, urban heat island effects, and peak heating timing. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS evening revisions, which could refine the 2-3°F spread defining resolution bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 14 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 14 avril ?
80-81°F 26%
78-79 °F 23%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75 °F
5%
76-77°F
12%
78-79 °F
23%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
11%
84-85 °F
10%
86-87 °F
5%
88-89°F
4%
90°F ou plus
1%
80-81°F 26%
78-79 °F 23%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
$39 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$168 Vol.
2%
74-75 °F
$29 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$103 Vol.
12%
78-79 °F
$37 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$43 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$95 Vol.
11%
84-85 °F
$20 Vol.
10%
86-87 °F
$52 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
4%
90°F ou plus
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's Central Park high temperature near 80°F on April 14, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 78-83°F outcomes and reflecting a potent upper-level ridge ushering dry, southerly flow for summer-like warmth 15-20°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 60-62°F. Recent 24-hour model runs show slight warming trends with reduced cloud interference, elevating 80-81°F as the marginal leader, while 78-79°F and 82-83°F contend due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze development, urban heat island effects, and peak heating timing. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS evening revisions, which could refine the 2-3°F spread defining resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$663Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's Central Park high temperature near 80°F on April 14, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 78-83°F outcomes and reflecting a potent upper-level ridge ushering dry, southerly flow for summer-like warmth 15-20°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 60-62°F. Recent 24-hour model runs show slight warming trends with reduced cloud interference, elevating 80-81°F as the marginal leader, while 78-79°F and 82-83°F contend due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze development, urban heat island effects, and peak heating timing. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS evening revisions, which could refine the 2-3°F spread defining resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$663Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's Central Park high temperature near 80°F on April 14, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 78-83°F outcomes and reflecting a potent upper-level ridge ushering dry, southerly flow for summer-like warmth 15-20°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 60-62°F. Recent 24-hour model runs show slight warming trends with reduced cloud interference, elevating 80-81°F as the marginal leader, while 78-79°F and 82-83°F contend due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze development, urban heat island effects, and peak heating timing. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS evening revisions, which could refine the 2-3°F spread defining resolution bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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