Market-implied odds cluster around 13–15°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 13 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, reflecting Météo-France's latest ARPEGE model runs and ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting daytime highs near 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This follows a sharp cooling after an unusually warm spell peaking at 25°C on April 9, as a high-pressure ridge over western Europe breaks down, ushering cooler Atlantic air. Trader sentiment weighs model spreads of 12–16°C, driven by uncertain afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing; GFS shows slightly higher potential at 15–16°C. New 12z forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could narrow this range ahead of resolution. Historical mid-April normals average 15°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 31%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
31%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 31%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
31%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds cluster around 13–15°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 13 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, reflecting Météo-France's latest ARPEGE model runs and ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting daytime highs near 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This follows a sharp cooling after an unusually warm spell peaking at 25°C on April 9, as a high-pressure ridge over western Europe breaks down, ushering cooler Atlantic air. Trader sentiment weighs model spreads of 12–16°C, driven by uncertain afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing; GFS shows slightly higher potential at 15–16°C. New 12z forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could narrow this range ahead of resolution. Historical mid-April normals average 15°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes