Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
23°C or higher 36%
22°C 32%
21°C 25%
20°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
32%
23°C or higher
36%
23°C or higher 36%
22°C 32%
21°C 25%
20°C 11%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
32%
23°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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