Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under humid monsoon conditions with possible light rain or thundershowers. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 31–33°C. The market-implied 51% probability for 32°C or higher, followed by 26.5% for 31°C, reflects trader assessment of model consensus tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that could cap the peak. Afternoon heat indices may still feel warmer due to humidity, but resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 18 août ?
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
28°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
44%
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
28°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11 Vol.
3%
27°C
$11 Vol.
8%
28°C
$39 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1 Vol.
14%
31°C
$12 Vol.
29%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under humid monsoon conditions with possible light rain or thundershowers. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 31–33°C. The market-implied 51% probability for 32°C or higher, followed by 26.5% for 31°C, reflects trader assessment of model consensus tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that could cap the peak. Afternoon heat indices may still feel warmer due to humidity, but resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$527Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under humid monsoon conditions with possible light rain or thundershowers. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 31–33°C. The market-implied 51% probability for 32°C or higher, followed by 26.5% for 31°C, reflects trader assessment of model consensus tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that could cap the peak. Afternoon heat indices may still feel warmer due to humidity, but resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$527Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under humid monsoon conditions with possible light rain or thundershowers. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 31–33°C. The market-implied 51% probability for 32°C or higher, followed by 26.5% for 31°C, reflects trader assessment of model consensus tempered by cloud cover and precipitation that could cap the peak. Afternoon heat indices may still feel warmer due to humidity, but resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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