Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 per party up for election. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–25 Republican governors post-election because multiple open seats and competitive races—including toss-ups in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create offsetting opportunities for both parties. Recent primary results and polling averages show Democrats competitive in several states Trump carried by double digits while Republicans retain structural edges in others, producing no decisive net trend. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final campaign momentum, state-level economic indicators, turnout differentials, or late developments in the handful of remaining battlegrounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour24–25 31%
22–23 29%
<22 18%
26–27 17%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
<22
18%
22–23
29%
24–25
31%
26–27
17%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
24–25 31%
22–23 29%
<22 18%
26–27 17%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
<22
$48,681 Vol.
18%
22–23
$9,325 Vol.
29%
24–25
$33,146 Vol.
31%
26–27
$18,081 Vol.
17%
28–29
$557,858 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,342 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,599 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 per party up for election. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–25 Republican governors post-election because multiple open seats and competitive races—including toss-ups in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create offsetting opportunities for both parties. Recent primary results and polling averages show Democrats competitive in several states Trump carried by double digits while Republicans retain structural edges in others, producing no decisive net trend. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final campaign momentum, state-level economic indicators, turnout differentials, or late developments in the handful of remaining battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$691,032Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 per party up for election. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–25 Republican governors post-election because multiple open seats and competitive races—including toss-ups in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create offsetting opportunities for both parties. Recent primary results and polling averages show Democrats competitive in several states Trump carried by double digits while Republicans retain structural edges in others, producing no decisive net trend. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final campaign momentum, state-level economic indicators, turnout differentials, or late developments in the handful of remaining battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$691,032Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 per party up for election. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–25 Republican governors post-election because multiple open seats and competitive races—including toss-ups in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create offsetting opportunities for both parties. Recent primary results and polling averages show Democrats competitive in several states Trump carried by double digits while Republicans retain structural edges in others, producing no decisive net trend. Key variables that could shift probabilities include final campaign momentum, state-level economic indicators, turnout differentials, or late developments in the handful of remaining battlegrounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Parti démocrate détiendra-t-il plus de postes de gouverneur après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?
54%
Oui
Les titulaires républicains au Sénat ne remporteront-ils pas exactement trois élections de nomination lors du cycle 2026 ?
96%
Oui
Les titulaires républicains à la Chambre ne remporteront-ils pas entre quatre et six élections de nomination lors du cycle 2026 ?
94%
Oui
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