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icon for Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?
Politique·États-Unis

Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?

icon for Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?
Politique·États-Unis

Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?

22–23 35%

<22 22%

24–25 21%

26–27 18%

Polymarket

$696,542 Vol.

22–23 35%

<22 22%

24–25 21%

26–27 18%

Polymarket

$696,542 Vol.

<22

$50,209 Vol.

22%

22–23

$10,597 Vol.

35%

24–25

$34,717 Vol.

21%

26–27

$18,266 Vol.

18%

28–29

$558,246 Vol.

4%

30–31

$8,633 Vol.

1%

32+

$15,875 Vol.

1%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 36 races evenly split between the parties’ defenses and nine Republican-held seats open due to term limits or retirements. Trader consensus favoring a net decline to the 22–23 range reflects vulnerabilities in open contests such as Georgia and Iowa alongside Democratic-held battlegrounds in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where recent polling and forecaster ratings show competitive dynamics. Factors that could consolidate support around 24–25 or higher include stronger Republican performance in Sun Belt and Midwest open seats, while further erosion toward sub-22 would require Democratic gains in multiple toss-up states amid national midterm trends. Upcoming general election results will determine the final partisan balance.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.

For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.

If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$696,542
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2f5e3684c...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 36 races evenly split between the parties’ defenses and nine Republican-held seats open due to term limits or retirements. Trader consensus favoring a net decline to the 22–23 range reflects vulnerabilities in open contests such as Georgia and Iowa alongside Democratic-held battlegrounds in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where recent polling and forecaster ratings show competitive dynamics. Factors that could consolidate support around 24–25 or higher include stronger Republican performance in Sun Belt and Midwest open seats, while further erosion toward sub-22 would require Democratic gains in multiple toss-up states amid national midterm trends. Upcoming general election results will determine the final partisan balance.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.

For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.

If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$696,542
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2f5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?

Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?

73%
icon for Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

97%
icon for Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

31%

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 22–23 » à 37%, suivi de « <22 » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ? » a généré $696.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 15, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ? » est « 22–23 » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <22 » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de gouverneurs républicains après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.