Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 19 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 19 août ?
27°C 37%
28°C 26%
26°C 26%
25°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
37%
28°C
26%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 26%
26°C 26%
25°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$59 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$101 Vol.
1%
24°C
$29 Vol.
3%
25°C
$94 Vol.
10%
26°C
$328 Vol.
26%
27°C
$167 Vol.
37%
28°C
$242 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$183 Vol.
3%
31°C
$105 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,314Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,314Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes