Current forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 25–26°C on September 15 amid the rainy season's persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like PAGASA and international ensembles shows typical monsoon conditions with scattered showers and minimal temperature variance, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C lows. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect trader uncertainty over potential deviations from enhanced cloudiness or an unexpected tropical disturbance that could alter the diurnal range, while mid-range outcomes near 25–27°C capture the baseline expectation. Upcoming model runs and PAGASA updates will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 15 septembre ?
31°C ou plus 89%
21°C ou moins 87%
29°C 37%
26°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
87%
22°C
16%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
23%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
16%
31°C ou plus
89%
31°C ou plus 89%
21°C ou moins 87%
29°C 37%
26°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
87%
22°C
$10 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$10 Vol.
37%
30°C
$10 Vol.
16%
31°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 25–26°C on September 15 amid the rainy season's persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like PAGASA and international ensembles shows typical monsoon conditions with scattered showers and minimal temperature variance, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C lows. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect trader uncertainty over potential deviations from enhanced cloudiness or an unexpected tropical disturbance that could alter the diurnal range, while mid-range outcomes near 25–27°C capture the baseline expectation. Upcoming model runs and PAGASA updates will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 25–26°C on September 15 amid the rainy season's persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like PAGASA and international ensembles shows typical monsoon conditions with scattered showers and minimal temperature variance, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C lows. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect trader uncertainty over potential deviations from enhanced cloudiness or an unexpected tropical disturbance that could alter the diurnal range, while mid-range outcomes near 25–27°C capture the baseline expectation. Upcoming model runs and PAGASA updates will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila indicate nighttime lows near 25–26°C on September 15 amid the rainy season's persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like PAGASA and international ensembles shows typical monsoon conditions with scattered showers and minimal temperature variance, aligning with historical September averages of 25–26°C lows. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect trader uncertainty over potential deviations from enhanced cloudiness or an unexpected tropical disturbance that could alter the diurnal range, while mid-range outcomes near 25–27°C capture the baseline expectation. Upcoming model runs and PAGASA updates will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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