Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 23 septembre ?
11°C 42%
14°C 33%
8°C ou moins 25%
10°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
25%
9°C
15%
10°C
25%
11°C
36%
12°C
23%
13°C
14%
14°C
33%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
2%
11°C 42%
14°C 33%
8°C ou moins 25%
10°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$191 Vol.
25%
11°C
$957 Vol.
36%
12°C
$220 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,368Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,368Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Paris on September 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure that promotes modest radiational cooling overnight. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 11°C and 12°C, where small differences in model timing for any increase in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current stable conditions limit colder outliers below 10°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the short lead time before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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