Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 11 septembre ?
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$535 Vol.
Non
20°C
$1,159 Vol.
Non
21°C
$696 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,564 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,871 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$2,360 Vol.
Non
25°C
$880 Vol.
Non
26°C
$141 Vol.
Non
27°C
$191 Vol.
Non
28°C
$201 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$183 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$14,782Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,782Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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