Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a low near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 15, driven by a frontal system bringing widespread rain, high humidity, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average overnight lows typically range 22–23°C amid frequent showers. The market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these model outputs, with 22°C and 24°C as close alternatives given forecast uncertainty bands of roughly ±1°C. Official Tokyo station data will determine resolution, and the next model runs or JMA updates could shift odds if rain timing or wind patterns change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 septembre ?
23°C 39%
22°C 27%
24°C 25%
20°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
13%
20°C
17%
21°C
8%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C ou plus
2%
23°C 39%
22°C 27%
24°C 25%
20°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
13%
20°C
$30 Vol.
17%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$56 Vol.
27%
23°C
$114 Vol.
39%
24°C
$252 Vol.
25%
25°C
$20 Vol.
9%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a low near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 15, driven by a frontal system bringing widespread rain, high humidity, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average overnight lows typically range 22–23°C amid frequent showers. The market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these model outputs, with 22°C and 24°C as close alternatives given forecast uncertainty bands of roughly ±1°C. Official Tokyo station data will determine resolution, and the next model runs or JMA updates could shift odds if rain timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$542Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a low near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 15, driven by a frontal system bringing widespread rain, high humidity, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average overnight lows typically range 22–23°C amid frequent showers. The market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these model outputs, with 22°C and 24°C as close alternatives given forecast uncertainty bands of roughly ±1°C. Official Tokyo station data will determine resolution, and the next model runs or JMA updates could shift odds if rain timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$542Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a low near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 15, driven by a frontal system bringing widespread rain, high humidity, and a shift to northerly flow that limits daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average overnight lows typically range 22–23°C amid frequent showers. The market-implied probabilities—led by 23°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these model outputs, with 22°C and 24°C as close alternatives given forecast uncertainty bands of roughly ±1°C. Official Tokyo station data will determine resolution, and the next model runs or JMA updates could shift odds if rain timing or wind patterns change.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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