**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 8 septembre ?
4°C 100.0%
3°C ou moins 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 Vol.
$2,260 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
Non
4°C
Oui
5°C
Non
6°C
Non
7°C
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10 °C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C ou plus
Non
4°C 100.0%
3°C ou moins 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 Vol.
$2,260 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$123 Vol.
Non
4°C
$470 Vol.
Oui
5°C
$45 Vol.
Non
6°C
$209 Vol.
Non
7°C
$149 Vol.
Non
8°C
$274 Vol.
Non
9°C
$35 Vol.
Non
10 °C
$45 Vol.
Non
11°C
$0 Vol.
Non
12°C
$910 Vol.
Non
13°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,260Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,260Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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