**Strong model consensus and real-time observations from MetService and NIWA place Wellington’s September 9 minimum at 5 °C.** Spring conditions feature moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly overnight, combined with partial cloud cover that limited radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops. Hourly data show temperatures falling steadily from daytime highs near 14 °C to the recorded low of 5 °C, aligning with climatological September overnight minima near 8–9 °C but tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. This tight agreement across agency forecasts and station readings underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Only an unforecasted sharp wind shift or clearer skies could push readings lower, yet current guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily minimum is finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 9 septembre ?
5°C 100.0%
2°C ou moins <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
100%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C ou plus
<1%
5°C 100.0%
2°C ou moins <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
$464 Vol.
1%
3°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$498 Vol.
100%
6°C
$825 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$590 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
12°C ou plus
$375 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and real-time observations from MetService and NIWA place Wellington’s September 9 minimum at 5 °C.** Spring conditions feature moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly overnight, combined with partial cloud cover that limited radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops. Hourly data show temperatures falling steadily from daytime highs near 14 °C to the recorded low of 5 °C, aligning with climatological September overnight minima near 8–9 °C but tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. This tight agreement across agency forecasts and station readings underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Only an unforecasted sharp wind shift or clearer skies could push readings lower, yet current guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,572Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and real-time observations from MetService and NIWA place Wellington’s September 9 minimum at 5 °C.** Spring conditions feature moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly overnight, combined with partial cloud cover that limited radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops. Hourly data show temperatures falling steadily from daytime highs near 14 °C to the recorded low of 5 °C, aligning with climatological September overnight minima near 8–9 °C but tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. This tight agreement across agency forecasts and station readings underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Only an unforecasted sharp wind shift or clearer skies could push readings lower, yet current guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,572Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and real-time observations from MetService and NIWA place Wellington’s September 9 minimum at 5 °C.** Spring conditions feature moderate northwesterly winds shifting southerly overnight, combined with partial cloud cover that limited radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops. Hourly data show temperatures falling steadily from daytime highs near 14 °C to the recorded low of 5 °C, aligning with climatological September overnight minima near 8–9 °C but tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. This tight agreement across agency forecasts and station readings underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. Only an unforecasted sharp wind shift or clearer skies could push readings lower, yet current guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily minimum is finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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