Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races, with trader consensus reflecting the toss-up dynamics between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence. Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 and faces national targeting as a vulnerable first-term member in a district that Trump carried by 8.5 points that year. Lawrence, a progressive organizer and Sunrise Movement co-founder, secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating two more moderate rivals, then gained inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program on September 15, drawing additional party resources roughly seven weeks before the November 3 general election. Polling averages show the candidates separated by low single digits, with the outcome hinging on turnout among swing voters, grassroots mobilization, and national spending in this key battleground that could influence House majority control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
William Lawrence (D)
50%
Tom Barrett (R)
49%
$20,426 Vol.
$20,426 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
William Lawrence (D)
$13,452 Vol.
50%
Tom Barrett (R)
$6,974 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races, with trader consensus reflecting the toss-up dynamics between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence. Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 and faces national targeting as a vulnerable first-term member in a district that Trump carried by 8.5 points that year. Lawrence, a progressive organizer and Sunrise Movement co-founder, secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating two more moderate rivals, then gained inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program on September 15, drawing additional party resources roughly seven weeks before the November 3 general election. Polling averages show the candidates separated by low single digits, with the outcome hinging on turnout among swing voters, grassroots mobilization, and national spending in this key battleground that could influence House majority control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$20,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races, with trader consensus reflecting the toss-up dynamics between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence. Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 and faces national targeting as a vulnerable first-term member in a district that Trump carried by 8.5 points that year. Lawrence, a progressive organizer and Sunrise Movement co-founder, secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating two more moderate rivals, then gained inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program on September 15, drawing additional party resources roughly seven weeks before the November 3 general election. Polling averages show the candidates separated by low single digits, with the outcome hinging on turnout among swing voters, grassroots mobilization, and national spending in this key battleground that could influence House majority control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,426Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's closest House races, with trader consensus reflecting the toss-up dynamics between incumbent Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence. Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 and faces national targeting as a vulnerable first-term member in a district that Trump carried by 8.5 points that year. Lawrence, a progressive organizer and Sunrise Movement co-founder, secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating two more moderate rivals, then gained inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program on September 15, drawing additional party resources roughly seven weeks before the November 3 general election. Polling averages show the candidates separated by low single digits, with the outcome hinging on turnout among swing voters, grassroots mobilization, and national spending in this key battleground that could influence House majority control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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