Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5%. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, with no notable primary challenges or candidate withdrawals altering the field. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic crossover potential despite the party’s national midterm positioning. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or local developments have emerged in recent weeks to challenge this positioning ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,675 Vol.
$17,675 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
87%
Parti démocrate
14%
$17,675 Vol.
$17,675 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$7,134 Vol.
87%
Parti démocrate
$10,541 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5%. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, with no notable primary challenges or candidate withdrawals altering the field. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic crossover potential despite the party’s national midterm positioning. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or local developments have emerged in recent weeks to challenge this positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$17,675Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5%. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, with no notable primary challenges or candidate withdrawals altering the field. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic crossover potential despite the party’s national midterm positioning. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or local developments have emerged in recent weeks to challenge this positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,675Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5%. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, with no notable primary challenges or candidate withdrawals altering the field. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic crossover potential despite the party’s national midterm positioning. No major polling shifts, endorsements, or local developments have emerged in recent weeks to challenge this positioning ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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