Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote in New York’s 25th congressional district, facing Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Morelle’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican primary activity, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. Historical patterns in this Rochester-area seat show large Democratic margins that have held through multiple election cycles. A late development capable of shifting odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-25
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-25
$26,176 Vol.
$26,176 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
$26,176 Vol.
$26,176 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$15,902 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$10,274 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote in New York’s 25th congressional district, facing Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Morelle’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican primary activity, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. Historical patterns in this Rochester-area seat show large Democratic margins that have held through multiple election cycles. A late development capable of shifting odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$26,176Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote in New York’s 25th congressional district, facing Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Morelle’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican primary activity, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. Historical patterns in this Rochester-area seat show large Democratic margins that have held through multiple election cycles. A late development capable of shifting odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,176Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote in New York’s 25th congressional district, facing Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Morelle’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican primary activity, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in Polymarket pricing. Historical patterns in this Rochester-area seat show large Democratic margins that have held through multiple election cycles. A late development capable of shifting odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national partisan wave altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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