Republican incumbent David Joyce, first elected in 2013 and a senior appropriator with a moderate record, secured renomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against challenger Nicole Frenchko. Democrat Maria Jukic advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index of approximately R+9 to R+10 under the current map. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold, with limited recent polling or national developments altering the baseline outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-14
$12,290 Vol.
$12,290 Vol.
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
14%
$12,290 Vol.
$12,290 Vol.
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent David Joyce, first elected in 2013 and a senior appropriator with a moderate record, secured renomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 70% of the vote against challenger Nicole Frenchko. Democrat Maria Jukic advanced from her primary to face him in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index of approximately R+9 to R+10 under the current map. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican hold, with limited recent polling or national developments altering the baseline outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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