New York’s 6th congressional district, covering parts of Queens, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Grace Meng secured the party nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with a clear majority, facing only token opposition in the general election from Republican Joseph Chou. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on consistent voter registration advantages, past election margins, and limited fundraising or organizational strength on the Republican side. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe national Republican wave in the midterms, or unforeseen health developments, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,916 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$9,001 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th congressional district, covering parts of Queens, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Grace Meng secured the party nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with a clear majority, facing only token opposition in the general election from Republican Joseph Chou. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on consistent voter registration advantages, past election margins, and limited fundraising or organizational strength on the Republican side. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe national Republican wave in the midterms, or unforeseen health developments, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$15,917Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th congressional district, covering parts of Queens, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Grace Meng secured the party nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with a clear majority, facing only token opposition in the general election from Republican Joseph Chou. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on consistent voter registration advantages, past election margins, and limited fundraising or organizational strength on the Republican side. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe national Republican wave in the midterms, or unforeseen health developments, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,917Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 6th congressional district, covering parts of Queens, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Grace Meng secured the party nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with a clear majority, facing only token opposition in the general election from Republican Joseph Chou. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on consistent voter registration advantages, past election margins, and limited fundraising or organizational strength on the Republican side. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe national Republican wave in the midterms, or unforeseen health developments, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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