Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
84%
Parti républicain
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$367 Vol.
84%
Parti républicain
$137 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$504Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$504Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19, 2026, primary, while Republican Patti Adair, a Deschutes County commissioner, advanced as the GOP nominee after defeating her primary opponent. The district carries a modest Democratic lean according to partisan voting indexes and performed favorably for Democrats in the prior cycle when Bynum flipped the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's position and limited strength of the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee an 84.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural advantages and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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