Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum’s position in the D+4 Oregon 5th district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic following her 2024 victory, supported by dominant primary performance, substantial fundraising advantage, and absence of major recent disruptions. The district’s suburban Portland and central Oregon composition has shown consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican challengers including Patti Adair face structural headwinds in a midterm environment without evident national tailwinds. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant polling shift, or coordinated opposition surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$818 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$3,953 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum’s position in the D+4 Oregon 5th district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic following her 2024 victory, supported by dominant primary performance, substantial fundraising advantage, and absence of major recent disruptions. The district’s suburban Portland and central Oregon composition has shown consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican challengers including Patti Adair face structural headwinds in a midterm environment without evident national tailwinds. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant polling shift, or coordinated opposition surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$4,771Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum’s position in the D+4 Oregon 5th district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic following her 2024 victory, supported by dominant primary performance, substantial fundraising advantage, and absence of major recent disruptions. The district’s suburban Portland and central Oregon composition has shown consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican challengers including Patti Adair face structural headwinds in a midterm environment without evident national tailwinds. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant polling shift, or coordinated opposition surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,771Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum’s position in the D+4 Oregon 5th district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic following her 2024 victory, supported by dominant primary performance, substantial fundraising advantage, and absence of major recent disruptions. The district’s suburban Portland and central Oregon composition has shown consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican challengers including Patti Adair face structural headwinds in a midterm environment without evident national tailwinds. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant polling shift, or coordinated opposition surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited near-term volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes