Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not publicly praise Allah again before the April 15 deadline, driven by the absence of any such statements in the past four days following his second invocation on April 11 amid escalating Iran tensions and boasts of military successes. The initial Easter Sunday post on April 5, tied to threats against Iranian infrastructure, sparked the market, but subsequent rhetoric has shifted without repetition, amid ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential airstrikes and diplomatic standoffs. With the resolution window closing today, traders price in minimal risk of a late Truth Social outburst or rally remark, though a sudden Iran escalation could prompt an unexpected reference.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$266,188 Vol.
$266,188 Vol.
Oui
$266,188 Vol.
$266,188 Vol.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not publicly praise Allah again before the April 15 deadline, driven by the absence of any such statements in the past four days following his second invocation on April 11 amid escalating Iran tensions and boasts of military successes. The initial Easter Sunday post on April 5, tied to threats against Iranian infrastructure, sparked the market, but subsequent rhetoric has shifted without repetition, amid ongoing foreign policy pressures including potential airstrikes and diplomatic standoffs. With the resolution window closing today, traders price in minimal risk of a late Truth Social outburst or rally remark, though a sudden Iran escalation could prompt an unexpected reference.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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