Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63% probability of no named storm forming in the Atlantic before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, reflecting the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessment showing no tropical cyclones or disturbances as of April 16, with zero chance of development in the next seven days. Cool sea surface temperatures across the main development region, lingering effects of weak La Niña conditions fostering higher vertical wind shear, and recent Colorado State University forecasts predicting below-normal 2026 activity—13 named storms versus the 1991–2020 average of 14.4—bolster this positioning. No significant tropical waves have emerged in the past week, though NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds amid inherent forecast uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
तूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
हाँ
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
$332,035 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63% probability of no named storm forming in the Atlantic before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, reflecting the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessment showing no tropical cyclones or disturbances as of April 16, with zero chance of development in the next seven days. Cool sea surface temperatures across the main development region, lingering effects of weak La Niña conditions fostering higher vertical wind shear, and recent Colorado State University forecasts predicting below-normal 2026 activity—13 named storms versus the 1991–2020 average of 14.4—bolster this positioning. No significant tropical waves have emerged in the past week, though NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds amid inherent forecast uncertainties.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$332,035समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63% probability of no named storm forming in the Atlantic before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, reflecting the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessment showing no tropical cyclones or disturbances as of April 16, with zero chance of development in the next seven days. Cool sea surface temperatures across the main development region, lingering effects of weak La Niña conditions fostering higher vertical wind shear, and recent Colorado State University forecasts predicting below-normal 2026 activity—13 named storms versus the 1991–2020 average of 14.4—bolster this positioning. No significant tropical waves have emerged in the past week, though NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds amid inherent forecast uncertainties.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
वॉल्यूम
$332,035समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63% probability of no named storm forming in the Atlantic before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, reflecting the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessment showing no tropical cyclones or disturbances as of April 16, with zero chance of development in the next seven days. Cool sea surface temperatures across the main development region, lingering effects of weak La Niña conditions fostering higher vertical wind shear, and recent Colorado State University forecasts predicting below-normal 2026 activity—13 named storms versus the 1991–2020 average of 14.4—bolster this positioning. No significant tropical waves have emerged in the past week, though NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds amid inherent forecast uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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