Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by the April 21 redistricting referendum that could approve new maps shifting the district from R+3 partisan voter index to D+7 under Democratic proposals, amid a national Democratic surge reflected in Gallup's Q1 2026 party ID edge of D+10—the widest in 16 years. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) holds a commanding $3.8 million cash-on-hand lead ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, but Democratic challengers like prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised) signal competitiveness. Recent raters like Inside Elections moved the race from Likely to Lean Republican in late 2025, while the district's 2024 presidential margin was Trump +5.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाVA -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
VA -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$15,335 वॉल्यूम
$15,335 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
78%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
22%
$15,335 वॉल्यूम
$15,335 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,968 वॉल्यूम
78%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$367 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by the April 21 redistricting referendum that could approve new maps shifting the district from R+3 partisan voter index to D+7 under Democratic proposals, amid a national Democratic surge reflected in Gallup's Q1 2026 party ID edge of D+10—the widest in 16 years. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) holds a commanding $3.8 million cash-on-hand lead ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, but Democratic challengers like prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised) signal competitiveness. Recent raters like Inside Elections moved the race from Likely to Lean Republican in late 2025, while the district's 2024 presidential margin was Trump +5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,335समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by the April 21 redistricting referendum that could approve new maps shifting the district from R+3 partisan voter index to D+7 under Democratic proposals, amid a national Democratic surge reflected in Gallup's Q1 2026 party ID edge of D+10—the widest in 16 years. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) holds a commanding $3.8 million cash-on-hand lead ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, but Democratic challengers like prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised) signal competitiveness. Recent raters like Inside Elections moved the race from Likely to Lean Republican in late 2025, while the district's 2024 presidential margin was Trump +5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,335समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 78.5% implied probability to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven primarily by the April 21 redistricting referendum that could approve new maps shifting the district from R+3 partisan voter index to D+7 under Democratic proposals, amid a national Democratic surge reflected in Gallup's Q1 2026 party ID edge of D+10—the widest in 16 years. Incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman (R) holds a commanding $3.8 million cash-on-hand lead ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries, but Democratic challengers like prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised) signal competitiveness. Recent raters like Inside Elections moved the race from Likely to Lean Republican in late 2025, while the district's 2024 presidential margin was Trump +5.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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