Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Lee McInnis in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting history and ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters, underpins trader consensus at 94% for the Republican Party. Rogers secured an easy primary win on May 19 and benefits from long tenure plus seniority on the House Armed Services Committee, while McInnis advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. The district’s eastern Alabama footprint, including Auburn and Anniston, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or major national political realignment could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers limit realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAL-03 House Election Winner
AL-03 House Election Winner
$35,431 Vol.
$35,431 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$35,431 Vol.
$35,431 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,648 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$14,782 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Lee McInnis in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting history and ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters, underpins trader consensus at 94% for the Republican Party. Rogers secured an easy primary win on May 19 and benefits from long tenure plus seniority on the House Armed Services Committee, while McInnis advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. The district’s eastern Alabama footprint, including Auburn and Anniston, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or major national political realignment could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers limit realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$35,431Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Lee McInnis in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting history and ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters, underpins trader consensus at 94% for the Republican Party. Rogers secured an easy primary win on May 19 and benefits from long tenure plus seniority on the House Armed Services Committee, while McInnis advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. The district’s eastern Alabama footprint, including Auburn and Anniston, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or major national political realignment could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers limit realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,431Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Lee McInnis in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting history and ratings as Solid Republican by forecasters, underpins trader consensus at 94% for the Republican Party. Rogers secured an easy primary win on May 19 and benefits from long tenure plus seniority on the House Armed Services Committee, while McInnis advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. The district’s eastern Alabama footprint, including Auburn and Anniston, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or major national political realignment could narrow the outcome, though structural barriers limit realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
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