Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 69%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Vol.
$19,751 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
69%
34°C
24%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Vol.
$19,751 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,661 Vol.
5%
33°C
$6,091 Vol.
69%
34°C
$3,027 Vol.
24%
35°C
$1,493 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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