Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 69.5% implied probability to a SpaceX initial public offering in June, propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which sources report targets an early June roadshow and listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, potentially raising $75 billion. Reuters' April 13 update on IPO details, including accelerated employee stock vesting, has solidified this timeline amid Starlink revenue growth and xAI integration synergies. July carries 16.8% odds as a contingency for regulatory delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.4% underscores robust trader confidence in execution. Watch for roadshow kickoff and pricing updates as pivotal catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 69%
July 16.9%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,341 Vol.
$252,341 Vol.
April
1%
May
1%
June
69%
July
17%
August
5%
September
2%
October
1%
November
<1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
June 69%
July 16.9%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,341 Vol.
$252,341 Vol.
April
1%
May
1%
June
69%
July
17%
August
5%
September
2%
October
1%
November
<1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 69.5% implied probability to a SpaceX initial public offering in June, propelled by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which sources report targets an early June roadshow and listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, potentially raising $75 billion. Reuters' April 13 update on IPO details, including accelerated employee stock vesting, has solidified this timeline amid Starlink revenue growth and xAI integration synergies. July carries 16.8% odds as a contingency for regulatory delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.4% underscores robust trader confidence in execution. Watch for roadshow kickoff and pricing updates as pivotal catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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