SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, anchored by its May 2026 SEC prospectus filing and an investor roadshow slated to begin June 8, underpins the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability of a June debut on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The company has fixed pricing at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, targeting a roughly $1.8 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum. This positions the offering as potentially the largest ever, well above prior private valuations around $350 billion. While the consensus reflects firm execution momentum and favorable equity market conditions, realistic scenarios such as unexpected regulatory delays or sharp shifts in investor sentiment could still push the listing into July or later.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 99.2%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
October <1%
$464,623 Vol.
$464,623 Vol.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.2%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
October <1%
$464,623 Vol.
$464,623 Vol.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, anchored by its May 2026 SEC prospectus filing and an investor roadshow slated to begin June 8, underpins the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability of a June debut on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The company has fixed pricing at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, targeting a roughly $1.8 trillion valuation amid strong institutional demand and Starlink revenue momentum. This positions the offering as potentially the largest ever, well above prior private valuations around $350 billion. While the consensus reflects firm execution momentum and favorable equity market conditions, realistic scenarios such as unexpected regulatory delays or sharp shifts in investor sentiment could still push the listing into July or later.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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