SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, capped by the June 3 announcement of a $135 per-share price targeting a record $75 billion raise and a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.3% implied probability for a June listing. The company’s May 20 public S-1 filing, followed by an early-June roadshow launch after a swift SEC review, has aligned all regulatory and marketing milestones within the current month. Trader consensus reflects this compressed schedule and the absence of material hurdles, pricing in near-certainty that the offering will clear before month-end. Only an unforeseen last-minute regulatory snag or abrupt market dislocation could realistically shift the outcome, though both appear remote with pricing set for June 11.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 99.3%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,135 Vol.
$478,135 Vol.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.3%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,135 Vol.
$478,135 Vol.
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, capped by the June 3 announcement of a $135 per-share price targeting a record $75 billion raise and a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.3% implied probability for a June listing. The company’s May 20 public S-1 filing, followed by an early-June roadshow launch after a swift SEC review, has aligned all regulatory and marketing milestones within the current month. Trader consensus reflects this compressed schedule and the absence of material hurdles, pricing in near-certainty that the offering will clear before month-end. Only an unforeseen last-minute regulatory snag or abrupt market dislocation could realistically shift the outcome, though both appear remote with pricing set for June 11.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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