SpaceX's May SEC prospectus filing and subsequent June pricing announcements at $135 per share for a targeted $75 billion raise have driven the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability of a June IPO. The company has accelerated its timeline after a confidential April submission, with the roadshow underway and a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX expected around June 12 amid favorable regulatory review. This reflects trader consensus on the near-term completion of standard IPO milestones. Delays from final SEC comments, adverse market conditions, or shifts in valuation could still push resolution later, though such outcomes currently carry minimal implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 99.1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
October <1%
$467,923 Vol.
$467,923 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
October <1%
$467,923 Vol.
$467,923 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June
$140,909 Vol.
99%
July
$27,858 Vol.
<1%
August
$18,369 Vol.
<1%
September
$19,268 Vol.
<1%
October
$16,919 Vol.
<1%
November
$16,223 Vol.
<1%
December
$10,589 Vol.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$26,252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's May SEC prospectus filing and subsequent June pricing announcements at $135 per share for a targeted $75 billion raise have driven the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability of a June IPO. The company has accelerated its timeline after a confidential April submission, with the roadshow underway and a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX expected around June 12 amid favorable regulatory review. This reflects trader consensus on the near-term completion of standard IPO milestones. Delays from final SEC comments, adverse market conditions, or shifts in valuation could still push resolution later, though such outcomes currently carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$467,923Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's May SEC prospectus filing and subsequent June pricing announcements at $135 per share for a targeted $75 billion raise have driven the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability of a June IPO. The company has accelerated its timeline after a confidential April submission, with the roadshow underway and a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX expected around June 12 amid favorable regulatory review. This reflects trader consensus on the near-term completion of standard IPO milestones. Delays from final SEC comments, adverse market conditions, or shifts in valuation could still push resolution later, though such outcomes currently carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$467,923Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's May SEC prospectus filing and subsequent June pricing announcements at $135 per share for a targeted $75 billion raise have driven the overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability of a June IPO. The company has accelerated its timeline after a confidential April submission, with the roadshow underway and a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX expected around June 12 amid favorable regulatory review. This reflects trader consensus on the near-term completion of standard IPO milestones. Delays from final SEC comments, adverse market conditions, or shifts in valuation could still push resolution later, though such outcomes currently carry minimal implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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