SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, including a confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 release in May, and confirmed pricing on June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a June debut. The offering targets $135 per share for 555.6 million shares to raise approximately $75 billion, implying a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and positioning it as the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional roadshow momentum have reinforced trader consensus around this near-term resolution. While last-minute market volatility or unforeseen procedural hurdles could theoretically intervene, the proximity to pricing and allocation leaves minimal scope for meaningful shifts in implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 99.6%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$469,160 Vol.
$469,160 Vol.
June
100%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.6%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
July <1%
August <1%
$469,160 Vol.
$469,160 Vol.
June
100%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, including a confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 release in May, and confirmed pricing on June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a June debut. The offering targets $135 per share for 555.6 million shares to raise approximately $75 billion, implying a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and positioning it as the largest IPO on record. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and institutional roadshow momentum have reinforced trader consensus around this near-term resolution. While last-minute market volatility or unforeseen procedural hurdles could theoretically intervene, the proximity to pricing and allocation leaves minimal scope for meaningful shifts in implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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