Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving radiative cooling overnight, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature for September 2 near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C. Light northeast winds and low humidity levels support efficient heat loss after sunset, with official model guidance from sources like GFS indicating lows clustered between 17–21°C depending on exact timing of the daily minimum. The near-even market split between 17°C or below (50.5% implied) and 18°C (42.5%) reflects minor divergences across forecast runs on the precise cooling rate under these calm, dry conditions, with traders weighing the potential for slight model revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Madrid on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 2?
18°C 73%
19°C 16%
21°C 14%
22°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
-
18°C
73%
19°C
16%
20°C
8%
21°C
14%
22°C
14%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 73%
19°C 16%
21°C 14%
22°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$51 Vol.
-
18°C
$6 Vol.
73%
19°C
$6 Vol.
16%
20°C
$32 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
14%
22°C
$5 Vol.
14%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5 Vol.
3%
25°C
$27 Vol.
2%
26°C
$22 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving radiative cooling overnight, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature for September 2 near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C. Light northeast winds and low humidity levels support efficient heat loss after sunset, with official model guidance from sources like GFS indicating lows clustered between 17–21°C depending on exact timing of the daily minimum. The near-even market split between 17°C or below (50.5% implied) and 18°C (42.5%) reflects minor divergences across forecast runs on the precise cooling rate under these calm, dry conditions, with traders weighing the potential for slight model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$186Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving radiative cooling overnight, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature for September 2 near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C. Light northeast winds and low humidity levels support efficient heat loss after sunset, with official model guidance from sources like GFS indicating lows clustered between 17–21°C depending on exact timing of the daily minimum. The near-even market split between 17°C or below (50.5% implied) and 18°C (42.5%) reflects minor divergences across forecast runs on the precise cooling rate under these calm, dry conditions, with traders weighing the potential for slight model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving radiative cooling overnight, positioning Madrid's minimum temperature for September 2 near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C. Light northeast winds and low humidity levels support efficient heat loss after sunset, with official model guidance from sources like GFS indicating lows clustered between 17–21°C depending on exact timing of the daily minimum. The near-even market split between 17°C or below (50.5% implied) and 18°C (42.5%) reflects minor divergences across forecast runs on the precise cooling rate under these calm, dry conditions, with traders weighing the potential for slight model revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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