Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 14 will likely settle in the 23–25°C range, driving the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Recent days featured cooler, rain-soaked conditions with minima near 17–20°C, but a shift toward clearer skies and southwesterly flow is expected to moderate radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal warmth and humidity. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing, which limits overnight temperature drops, and wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow slightly greater cooling if lighter than projected. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though small revisions in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could tip probabilities between 23°C and 25°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
24°C 44%
25°C 34%
23°C 24%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
44%
25°C
34%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 34%
23°C 24%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$74 Vol.
24%
24°C
$236 Vol.
44%
25°C
$480 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$4 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 14 will likely settle in the 23–25°C range, driving the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Recent days featured cooler, rain-soaked conditions with minima near 17–20°C, but a shift toward clearer skies and southwesterly flow is expected to moderate radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal warmth and humidity. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing, which limits overnight temperature drops, and wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow slightly greater cooling if lighter than projected. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though small revisions in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could tip probabilities between 23°C and 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$815Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 14 will likely settle in the 23–25°C range, driving the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Recent days featured cooler, rain-soaked conditions with minima near 17–20°C, but a shift toward clearer skies and southwesterly flow is expected to moderate radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal warmth and humidity. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing, which limits overnight temperature drops, and wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow slightly greater cooling if lighter than projected. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though small revisions in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could tip probabilities between 23°C and 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$815Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on September 14 will likely settle in the 23–25°C range, driving the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Recent days featured cooler, rain-soaked conditions with minima near 17–20°C, but a shift toward clearer skies and southwesterly flow is expected to moderate radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal warmth and humidity. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing, which limits overnight temperature drops, and wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow slightly greater cooling if lighter than projected. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though small revisions in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could tip probabilities between 23°C and 25°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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