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Politik·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas

Market icon
Politik·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas

May 26

May 26

Ken Paxton 60%

John Cornyn 40%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Wesley Hunt <1%

Polymarket

$15,559,205 Vol.

Ken Paxton 60%

John Cornyn 40%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Wesley Hunt <1%

Polymarket

$15,559,205 Vol.

Akankah Ken Paxton memenangkan Pemilihan Pendahuluan Partai Republik Texas 2026? icon

Ken Paxton

$4,245,490 Vol.

60%

Akankah John Cornyn memenangkan Pemilihan Pendahuluan Partai Republik Texas 2026? icon

John Cornyn

$3,163,812 Vol.

40%

Apakah Dawn Buckingham akan memenangkan Pemilihan Pendahuluan Partai Republik Texas 2026? icon

Dawn Buckingham

$925,930 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Wesley Hunt akan memenangkan Pemilihan Pendahuluan Partai Republik Texas 2026? icon

Wesley Hunt

$1,796,477 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Beth Van Duyne akan memenangkan Pemilihan Primer Partai Republik Texas 2026? icon

Beth Van Duyne

$5,427,496 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 59.5% to unseat incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 40.5% in the Republican Senate primary runoff on May 26, driven by Paxton's consistent leads in post-March 3 primary polls, including TPOR's recent 48%-40% and Impact Research's 53%-37% among likely GOP primary voters. Paxton's surge stems from his hardline record on border security and impeachment acquittal, appealing to the MAGA-aligned base frustrated with Cornyn's bipartisan deals and perceived moderation on issues like gun control and H-1B visas. President Trump's pending endorsement looms as a potential catalyst, while minor candidates like Wesley Hunt and Dawn Buckingham trail far behind after weak first-round showings. The closely contested race highlights Texas GOP tensions between establishment and insurgent wings ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,559,205
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 59.5% to unseat incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 40.5% in the Republican Senate primary runoff on May 26, driven by Paxton's consistent leads in post-March 3 primary polls, including TPOR's recent 48%-40% and Impact Research's 53%-37% among likely GOP primary voters. Paxton's surge stems from his hardline record on border security and impeachment acquittal, appealing to the MAGA-aligned base frustrated with Cornyn's bipartisan deals and perceived moderation on issues like gun control and H-1B visas. President Trump's pending endorsement looms as a potential catalyst, while minor candidates like Wesley Hunt and Dawn Buckingham trail far behind after weak first-round showings. The closely contested race highlights Texas GOP tensions between establishment and insurgent wings ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,559,205
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ken Paxton" di 60%, diikuti oleh "John Cornyn" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 60¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas" telah menghasilkan $15.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 10, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas" adalah "Ken Paxton" di 60%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Cornyn" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Texas" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.