Credible reporting from The Information has surged Polymarket's implied probability to 86% for Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting trader consensus on imminent rollout of this flagship large language model amid preparations for a companion AI design tool. Key catalysts include yesterday's Claude Code desktop app redesign—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—as a classic Anthropic precursor to model drops, plus prior code leaks referencing 4.7 and today's backend errors hinting at deployment. This rapid iteration bolsters Anthropic's edge in AI capabilities over rivals like OpenAI, though technical delays remain a slim risk before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClaude 4.7 rilasciato il...?
Claude 4.7 rilasciato il...?
Entro il 16 aprile 87%
17 aprile 7.8%
21 aprile 2.0%
20 aprile 1.8%
$61,667 Vol.
$61,667 Vol.
Entro il 16 aprile
87%
17 aprile
8%
18 aprile
2%
19 aprile
1%
20 aprile
2%
21 aprile
2%
22 aprile
1%
23 aprile
<1%
24 aprile
1%
25 aprile
<1%
26 aprile
1%
27 aprile
1%
28 aprile
<1%
29 aprile
1%
30 aprile
<1%
Non rilasciato entro il 30 aprile
1%
Entro il 16 aprile 87%
17 aprile 7.8%
21 aprile 2.0%
20 aprile 1.8%
$61,667 Vol.
$61,667 Vol.
Entro il 16 aprile
87%
17 aprile
8%
18 aprile
2%
19 aprile
1%
20 aprile
2%
21 aprile
2%
22 aprile
1%
23 aprile
<1%
24 aprile
1%
25 aprile
<1%
26 aprile
1%
27 aprile
1%
28 aprile
<1%
29 aprile
1%
30 aprile
<1%
Non rilasciato entro il 30 aprile
1%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Credible reporting from The Information has surged Polymarket's implied probability to 86% for Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting trader consensus on imminent rollout of this flagship large language model amid preparations for a companion AI design tool. Key catalysts include yesterday's Claude Code desktop app redesign—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—as a classic Anthropic precursor to model drops, plus prior code leaks referencing 4.7 and today's backend errors hinting at deployment. This rapid iteration bolsters Anthropic's edge in AI capabilities over rivals like OpenAI, though technical delays remain a slim risk before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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