National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 5 indicate a high near 99–100°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 96–97°F and 100–101°F. Typical August climatology shows average highs around 96°F, but the current pattern—absent frontal passages or tropical influences—supports slightly above-normal readings while keeping extreme outliers below 5% probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute moisture shifts could refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 5 agosto?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
$196 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$192 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$174 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$72 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$235 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$141 Vol.
25%
102-103°F
$66 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$22 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$64 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 5 indicate a high near 99–100°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 96–97°F and 100–101°F. Typical August climatology shows average highs around 96°F, but the current pattern—absent frontal passages or tropical influences—supports slightly above-normal readings while keeping extreme outliers below 5% probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute moisture shifts could refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,191Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 5 indicate a high near 99–100°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 96–97°F and 100–101°F. Typical August climatology shows average highs around 96°F, but the current pattern—absent frontal passages or tropical influences—supports slightly above-normal readings while keeping extreme outliers below 5% probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute moisture shifts could refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,191Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin on August 5 indicate a high near 99–100°F under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 96–97°F and 100–101°F. Typical August climatology shows average highs around 96°F, but the current pattern—absent frontal passages or tropical influences—supports slightly above-normal readings while keeping extreme outliers below 5% probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute moisture shifts could refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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