Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high because numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a typical early-August pattern: subtropical high pressure with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any stronger ridging or clearer skies potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C while increased monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could hold readings at 31°C; resolution hinges on the 24-hour forecast updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 6 agosto?
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
$24,258 Vol.
$24,258 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C o superiore
6%
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
$24,258 Vol.
$24,258 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s August 6 high because numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a typical early-August pattern: subtropical high pressure with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any stronger ridging or clearer skies potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C while increased monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could hold readings at 31°C; resolution hinges on the 24-hour forecast updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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