Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, indicate stable Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on September 3, with mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures centered near 31–32°C—close to early-September climatological averages. This consensus, with minimal model spread and no signals of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 32°C. Typical diurnal heating under high pressure and low humidity supports a narrow probability band around these values, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of any developing warm anomaly or forecast shift in the latest updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 3 settembre?
32°C 69%
33°C 23%
31°C 9%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
69%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 23%
31°C 9%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
69%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, indicate stable Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on September 3, with mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures centered near 31–32°C—close to early-September climatological averages. This consensus, with minimal model spread and no signals of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 32°C. Typical diurnal heating under high pressure and low humidity supports a narrow probability band around these values, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of any developing warm anomaly or forecast shift in the latest updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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