Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 6 agosto?
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
26°C or below
$243 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$866 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$510 Vol.
2%
30°C
$283 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,012 Vol.
16%
32°C
$853 Vol.
40%
33°C
$856 Vol.
29%
34°C
$1,022 Vol.
9%
35°C
$459 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$778 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,357Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,357Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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