Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and regional ensembles show Warsaw under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy conditions on September 3, supporting maximum temperatures of 22–24 °C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20–23 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Light winds and moderate humidity limit extreme diurnal swings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Trader consensus clustering on 23 °C (44% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes reflects model agreement with only modest spread in cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though revised runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if high-pressure ridging strengthens or weakens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 3 settembre?
23°C 44%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
44%
24°C
27%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$80 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$84 Vol.
22%
23°C
$372 Vol.
44%
24°C
$307 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and regional ensembles show Warsaw under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy conditions on September 3, supporting maximum temperatures of 22–24 °C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20–23 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Light winds and moderate humidity limit extreme diurnal swings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Trader consensus clustering on 23 °C (44% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes reflects model agreement with only modest spread in cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though revised runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if high-pressure ridging strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,194Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and regional ensembles show Warsaw under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy conditions on September 3, supporting maximum temperatures of 22–24 °C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20–23 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Light winds and moderate humidity limit extreme diurnal swings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Trader consensus clustering on 23 °C (44% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes reflects model agreement with only modest spread in cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though revised runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if high-pressure ridging strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,194Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like GFS and regional ensembles show Warsaw under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy conditions on September 3, supporting maximum temperatures of 22–24 °C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20–23 °C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Light winds and moderate humidity limit extreme diurnal swings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Trader consensus clustering on 23 °C (44% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes reflects model agreement with only modest spread in cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though revised runs closer to the date could shift probabilities if high-pressure ridging strengthens or weakens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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