Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from major models show Warsaw under building high pressure with west-northwest flow on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C. This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (34.5 %) and 23 °C (44 %), as subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow moderate solar heating while cool advection prevents stronger warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing accounts for the secondary 21 °C and 24 °C probabilities. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC updates that keep the most likely outcome in the narrow 22–23 °C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 2 settembre?
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
49%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$67 Vol.
1%
20°C
$65 Vol.
2%
21°C
$285 Vol.
11%
22°C
$209 Vol.
33%
23°C
$490 Vol.
49%
24°C
$25 Vol.
14%
25°C
$204 Vol.
3%
26°C
$80 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from major models show Warsaw under building high pressure with west-northwest flow on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C. This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (34.5 %) and 23 °C (44 %), as subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow moderate solar heating while cool advection prevents stronger warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing accounts for the secondary 21 °C and 24 °C probabilities. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC updates that keep the most likely outcome in the narrow 22–23 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,735Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from major models show Warsaw under building high pressure with west-northwest flow on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C. This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (34.5 %) and 23 °C (44 %), as subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow moderate solar heating while cool advection prevents stronger warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing accounts for the secondary 21 °C and 24 °C probabilities. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC updates that keep the most likely outcome in the narrow 22–23 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,735Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from major models show Warsaw under building high pressure with west-northwest flow on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C. This consensus drives the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (34.5 %) and 23 °C (44 %), as subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow moderate solar heating while cool advection prevents stronger warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing accounts for the secondary 21 °C and 24 °C probabilities. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC updates that keep the most likely outcome in the narrow 22–23 °C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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