France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$330,322 Vol.
31 lug 2026
July 31, 2026
2%
31 dicembre 2026
24%
$330,322 Vol.
July 31, 2026
$960 Vol.
2%
31 dicembre 2026
$9,313 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$330,322Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$330,322Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti