Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 13 settembre?
22°C o superiore 76%
16°C 37%
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
12°C o inferiore
44%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
37%
17°C
22%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C o superiore
76%
22°C o superiore 76%
16°C 37%
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
12°C o inferiore
44%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
37%
17°C
22%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C o superiore
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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