Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Busan near 20–22°C on September 19 amid northeast winds and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, producing closely matched market-implied odds around the 20–22°C thresholds. Variable cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated toward 25°C or higher, while clearer intervals or stronger advection might allow brief drops closer to 18°C or below. This genuine forecast uncertainty, typical for transitional autumn conditions in the region where historical September lows average near 20°C, explains the balanced trader consensus between the 25°C+ and 15°C-or-below outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Busan il 19 settembre?
25°C o superiore 88%
15°C o inferiore 84%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
15°C o inferiore
84%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
16%
25°C o superiore
88%
25°C o superiore 88%
15°C o inferiore 84%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
15°C o inferiore
84%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
16%
25°C o superiore
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Busan near 20–22°C on September 19 amid northeast winds and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, producing closely matched market-implied odds around the 20–22°C thresholds. Variable cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated toward 25°C or higher, while clearer intervals or stronger advection might allow brief drops closer to 18°C or below. This genuine forecast uncertainty, typical for transitional autumn conditions in the region where historical September lows average near 20°C, explains the balanced trader consensus between the 25°C+ and 15°C-or-below outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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