Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C on September 11, driven by the arrival of cooler air and increased cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs. Official and model guidance from sources such as LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and AccuWeather converge on lows in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C. Persistent humidity near 70% and light winds further moderate temperature drops, while historical September baselines around 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revisions from regional meteorological centers remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing l'11 settembre?
26°C o superiore 90%
16°C o inferiore 50%
20°C 47%
17°C 40%
16°C o inferiore
50%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
47%
21°C
25%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C o superiore
90%
26°C o superiore 90%
16°C o inferiore 50%
20°C 47%
17°C 40%
16°C o inferiore
50%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
47%
21°C
25%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C o superiore
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C on September 11, driven by the arrival of cooler air and increased cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs. Official and model guidance from sources such as LUFT TIME, Worldmeteo, and AccuWeather converge on lows in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C. Persistent humidity near 70% and light winds further moderate temperature drops, while historical September baselines around 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revisions from regional meteorological centers remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti