Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 11, consistent with late-summer norms of about 17°C under clear skies and light northeast winds. This positions the market's closely matched 37% probabilities for 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher around genuine uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late model adjustments to boundary layer mixing. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed variability, but traders watch the final overnight runs and local station data for shifts that could resolve toward the 19–21°C cluster now carrying 20–23% implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul l'11 settembre?
16°C o meno 74%
26°C o superiore 74%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
16°C o meno
74%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C o superiore
74%
16°C o meno 74%
26°C o superiore 74%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
16°C o meno
$0 Vol.
74%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$3 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 11, consistent with late-summer norms of about 17°C under clear skies and light northeast winds. This positions the market's closely matched 37% probabilities for 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher around genuine uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late model adjustments to boundary layer mixing. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed variability, but traders watch the final overnight runs and local station data for shifts that could resolve toward the 19–21°C cluster now carrying 20–23% implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 11, consistent with late-summer norms of about 17°C under clear skies and light northeast winds. This positions the market's closely matched 37% probabilities for 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher around genuine uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late model adjustments to boundary layer mixing. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed variability, but traders watch the final overnight runs and local station data for shifts that could resolve toward the 19–21°C cluster now carrying 20–23% implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Istanbul on September 11, consistent with late-summer norms of about 17°C under clear skies and light northeast winds. This positions the market's closely matched 37% probabilities for 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher around genuine uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late model adjustments to boundary layer mixing. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed variability, but traders watch the final overnight runs and local station data for shifts that could resolve toward the 19–21°C cluster now carrying 20–23% implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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