Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Red Sea region, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds expected through September 2, supporting a typical nocturnal radiative cooling pattern but limited by high humidity levels near 50-60% and the moderating influence of coastal waters. This setup points to a daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours around 29–31°C, consistent with historical September averages near 29°C and ongoing late-summer warmth without major synoptic shifts. The tightly clustered market odds around 27–33°C reflect genuine uncertainty from small variations in wind speed, cloud cover timing, and urban heat retention, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology likely to refine the exact threshold in the final 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 2 settembre?
27°C 38%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
24°C or below
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
24°C or below
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Red Sea region, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds expected through September 2, supporting a typical nocturnal radiative cooling pattern but limited by high humidity levels near 50-60% and the moderating influence of coastal waters. This setup points to a daily minimum likely occurring in the early morning hours around 29–31°C, consistent with historical September averages near 29°C and ongoing late-summer warmth without major synoptic shifts. The tightly clustered market odds around 27–33°C reflect genuine uncertainty from small variations in wind speed, cloud cover timing, and urban heat retention, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology likely to refine the exact threshold in the final 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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