**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Arabian Sea monsoon regime indicate a minimum temperature near 26 °C for Karachi on September 10, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Multiple short-range runs converge on overnight lows of 25–27 °C, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and land-sea breeze circulations suppress sharp drops. The market’s tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below outcome and the 26 °C bin reflects residual model disagreement on cloud cover and wind speed during the pre-dawn hours, when the greatest cooling typically occurs. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of localized clearer intervals allowing slightly deeper cooling against the dominant humid, breezy pattern that historically caps minima above 24 °C. Updated model guidance and any late-day observations of cloud trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 10 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 71%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
71%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C o superiore
11%
21°C o inferiore 71%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
71%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C o superiore
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies tracking the Arabian Sea monsoon regime indicate a minimum temperature near 26 °C for Karachi on September 10, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Multiple short-range runs converge on overnight lows of 25–27 °C, consistent with seasonal norms for early September when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and land-sea breeze circulations suppress sharp drops. The market’s tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below outcome and the 26 °C bin reflects residual model disagreement on cloud cover and wind speed during the pre-dawn hours, when the greatest cooling typically occurs. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of localized clearer intervals allowing slightly deeper cooling against the dominant humid, breezy pattern that historically caps minima above 24 °C. Updated model guidance and any late-day observations of cloud trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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