**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international numerical weather prediction systems point to a minimum temperature of 25°C on September 18, 2026, under stable subtropical conditions typical of late summer in the region.** Highs are expected near 31–33°C with light easterly winds, partly cloudy to clear skies overnight, and high humidity (around 70–90%) that limits radiative cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored near the seasonal baseline of ~24°C while preventing deeper drops. Multiple 15-day outlooks converge on a 25°C minimum, with limited spread due to the absence of strong frontal systems, typhoon influences, or significant cloud cover changes in the latest model runs. Trader consensus (61.5% implied probability on 25°C) reflects this tight model agreement and historical September climatology, while the smaller probabilities on 24°C or 26°C account for minor forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and urban heat effects. No major data shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 18 settembre?
25°C 62%
21°C o inferiore 28%
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
28%
22°C
13%
23°C
18%
24°C
27%
25°C
62%
26°C
24%
27°C
18%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C o superiore
28%
25°C 62%
21°C o inferiore 28%
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$114 Vol.
62%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international numerical weather prediction systems point to a minimum temperature of 25°C on September 18, 2026, under stable subtropical conditions typical of late summer in the region.**
Highs are expected near 31–33°C with light easterly winds, partly cloudy to clear skies overnight, and high humidity (around 70–90%) that limits radiative cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored near the seasonal baseline of ~24°C while preventing deeper drops. Multiple 15-day outlooks converge on a 25°C minimum, with limited spread due to the absence of strong frontal systems, typhoon influences, or significant cloud cover changes in the latest model runs.
Trader consensus (61.5% implied probability on 25°C) reflects this tight model agreement and historical September climatology, while the smaller probabilities on 24°C or 26°C account for minor forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and urban heat effects. No major data shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$114Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international numerical weather prediction systems point to a minimum temperature of 25°C on September 18, 2026, under stable subtropical conditions typical of late summer in the region.**
Highs are expected near 31–33°C with light easterly winds, partly cloudy to clear skies overnight, and high humidity (around 70–90%) that limits radiative cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored near the seasonal baseline of ~24°C while preventing deeper drops. Multiple 15-day outlooks converge on a 25°C minimum, with limited spread due to the absence of strong frontal systems, typhoon influences, or significant cloud cover changes in the latest model runs.
Trader consensus (61.5% implied probability on 25°C) reflects this tight model agreement and historical September climatology, while the smaller probabilities on 24°C or 26°C account for minor forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and urban heat effects. No major data shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international numerical weather prediction systems point to a minimum temperature of 25°C on September 18, 2026, under stable subtropical conditions typical of late summer in the region.** Highs are expected near 31–33°C with light easterly winds, partly cloudy to clear skies overnight, and high humidity (around 70–90%) that limits radiative cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored near the seasonal baseline of ~24°C while preventing deeper drops. Multiple 15-day outlooks converge on a 25°C minimum, with limited spread due to the absence of strong frontal systems, typhoon influences, or significant cloud cover changes in the latest model runs. Trader consensus (61.5% implied probability on 25°C) reflects this tight model agreement and historical September climatology, while the smaller probabilities on 24°C or 26°C account for minor forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and urban heat effects. No major data shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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