**Trader sentiment for Singapore’s lowest temperature on September 3, 2026, centers on the 26–27°C range (combined ~62% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts of warm, humid nights under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Southeast or southwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima above the seasonal norm in many models. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistent dry weather into early September, with minimum temperatures likely remaining above 27°C on most nights and localized thundery showers possible only in the afternoon—factors that reduce the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Differentiation among nearby outcomes (23–28°C) arises from small variations in cloud cover, humidity (typically 80–90% at night), wind speed, and the urban heat island effect at official stations such as Changi Airport. Clearer periods allow more cooling toward 26°C, while increased moisture or light winds favor 27°C or slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant rain or unusual atmospheric cooling given current model consensus. Upcoming 24–48 hour forecast updates from NEA/MSS and refined model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for any market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 3 settembre?
21°C or below 33.7%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 33.7%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Singapore’s lowest temperature on September 3, 2026, centers on the 26–27°C range (combined ~62% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts of warm, humid nights under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Southeast or southwesterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima above the seasonal norm in many models. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistent dry weather into early September, with minimum temperatures likely remaining above 27°C on most nights and localized thundery showers possible only in the afternoon—factors that reduce the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Differentiation among nearby outcomes (23–28°C) arises from small variations in cloud cover, humidity (typically 80–90% at night), wind speed, and the urban heat island effect at official stations such as Changi Airport. Clearer periods allow more cooling toward 26°C, while increased moisture or light winds favor 27°C or slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant rain or unusual atmospheric cooling given current model consensus. Upcoming 24–48 hour forecast updates from NEA/MSS and refined model runs will be the key near-term catalysts for any market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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