Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$27,422 Vol.
$27,422 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$18,895 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,528 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,422Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,422Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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